Report on Future of AI
Originally published for paying Patreon members on 2025-04-02. Republished here after a 90-day patron-first period.
My quote:
What I fear is that antisocial individuals and groups will gain the power to create weapons of mass destruction that heretofore have been reserved for states: already, the same tools have been used to solve the protein-folding problem and to suggest tens of thousands of potentially fatal compounds to be used in biological and chemical warfare. I did not come up with the phrase, but I agree that a good question to ask about any potentially powerful technology is ‘What might 4chan do with it?’
“The ability of medical researchers to seek cures and prevention for deadly diseases will be multiplied.
“What I fear is that antisocial individuals and groups will gain the power to create weapons of mass destruction that heretofore have been reserved for states: already, the same tools have been used to solve the protein folding problem and to suggest tens of thousands of potentially fatal compounds to be used in biological and chemical warfare. I did not come up with the phrase, but I agree that a good question to ask about any potentially powerful technology is ‘What might 4chan do with it?’
“As a former university lecturer, I’m happy to see student use of ChatGPT blowing up the traditional tools for assigning grades. These institutions and their employees are never likely to radically change destructive processes like traditional grading unless they are faced with an existential threat.
“One significant critical uncertainty is whether AI will evolve as a tool for augmenting human intellect or as a replacement. If the former, unless educational institutions and practices change radically (how many schools offer enough guidance today to students on assessing the accuracy of online information?), there will be a strong divide between those who know how to use these tools to amplify their own capabilities and those who do not have that knowledge/skill.”